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Hannah Collymore

Rick Rieder leads prediction markets for Federal Reserve Chair as Kevin Warsh slips in odds

As of January 26 2026, BlackRock's Global Fixed Income CIO Rick Rieder has moved into pole position on Polymarket and Kalshi for the role of Federal Reserve Chair, ahead of Jerome Powell's term ending in May. Rieder's probability has climbed sharply, overtaking former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, as traders respond to his recent meeting with Donald Trump and favorable public comments from the former president and economic advisor Kevin Hassett.
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